Greg Polson preview and top three bets for Wyong

Greg Polson - Thursday October 12

Wyong is a track that suits on pace runners and we have found three leaders that will take plenty of running down on Thursday.

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Two of our best bets come up in 1600m races and it is worth noting horses that lead over the mile have a winning strike rate of 26 percent but more importantly produce a profit on investment of 11 percent.

The other special for the day contests a 1200m race and whilst the winning strike rate drops to 21 percent over the trip the profit on investment rises to 19 percent.

DELOS (Race 2 No 3)

The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained Delos was backed from $31 to $13 at Canterbury last start and the long-price plunge looked set to come off when Delos led straightening by close to six-lengths and was still three-lengths clear at the 100m mark but was run down late by the promising Kaonic.

The 800m-400m split told the story of the race and was the reason Delos was vulnerable over the latter stages.

Delos recorded 22.36 seconds for the split, approximately four-lengths quicker than any runner in the two 1550m races on the day with the split only bettered by the field that contested the 1100m race on the same program.

Counting on the premise that Delos won't go quite as hard during the critical 800-400m section of the Cabac Haneco IPD 3YO Maiden Plate (1600m) with connections deciding to remove the blinkers.

If our assertion is close to the mark, Delos will have more up his sleeve over the final 100m which would make him a good thing around Wyong.

OXFORD MAGIC (Race 5 No 2)

Trainer Kim Waugh has given punters a lead in the Clipsal By Schneider Electric Class 2 Handicap (1200m) by scratching the stablemate Prince Dylan and relying on Oxford Magic which looks set to get an uncontested lead.

Oxford Magic had genuine excuses at Gosford resuming and Waugh has given the gelding five-weeks to get over the first-up run and the lightly-raced five-year-old looked ready to go winning a Beaumont trial on September 29.

Oxford Magic has to overcome the Peter and Paul Snowden-trained Red Hearts who is at an odds-on quote in early betting.

Whilst there is no training combination I respect more than the Snowdens there are a couple of chinks in the armour of Red Hearts that suggest the mare is well under the odds.

The blinkers come off and it is worth noting Red Hearts only career win in eight starts was recorded with blinkers and whilst it is hard to draw a definitive conclusion early in her career there are signs that Red Hearts may well need a wet track to produce her best.

Happy to have something on Oxford Magic to beat the favourite.

VICTIME DE L'AMOUR (Race 8 No 1)

It looks a case of first out first home for the Tim Martin-trained Victime De L'Amour in the Brilliant LTG Kingray PSA Class 2 Handicap (1600m).

Victime De L'Amour was just a run short second-up at Kembla last time out stepping up to the mile but should be at his peak on Thursday.

Victime De L'Amour hit his straps last campaign when he stepped up to the mile distance range winning successive races at Hawkesbury and Canberra by a combined total of nine-lengths and gets his chance to return to the winner's list.

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