Greg Polson previews the Taree Cup Sunday

Greg Polson - Sunday August 20

Here's a look at the speed map, stats, market, value and an investment strategy for the Taree Cup on Sunday.

Advertisement

Stacks Law Firm Taree Cup Showcase (2000m).

The Map.

ADMIRAL JELLO

EGYPTIAN RULER

MALLEABLE

WHO IS GAME

GOLD AMBITION

GLITRA

THE GETAWAY

SOFIN

MR MCBAT

PACKEN

COLLABORATION

PIRATE BEN

OLYMPIC ACADEMY

With Glitra and Pirate Ben both pushing forward from double-figure barriers there is a high probability this year's cup will be run at a genuine tempo giving all runners their chance.

The Stats

Barriers 2,11,13 and 14 have the best winning strike rates over the journey at Taree with the three most profitable barriers 10,11 and 13 so the stats tell us not to be concerned about wide barriers.

Favourites over the 2000m trip perform substantially better than favourites across all distances at the Mid-North Coast track with a winning strike rate of 42 per cent and a profit on turnover of 12.6 per cent compared to the overall performance of favourites at Taree of 30.1 cent returning a loss on turnover of 13.1 per cent.

The Market and Value

The Kris Lees stable holds all the aces heading into Sunday's feature with the favourite Admiral Jello and the 2016 Taree Cup winner Olympic Academy.

Admiral Jello has his hoof right on the till third-up after two excellent performances at Randwick finishing fourth to Pelethronius resuming at Randwick before finishing second to the promising Steyne at the same track last time out.

The 2000m is perfect for Admiral Jello third-up and the $2.50 available in early markets looks value.

Olympic Academy won the 2016 Cup launching from barrier two and will need some luck from barrier 15 on Sunday but the market looks to have over-reacted to the wide gate with the $10 widely available in early betting looking over the odds.

Sofin is proven at the journey and is ready for the step up in distance at her fourth run back from a spell and represents a touch of value.

Gold Ambition finished right behind Admiral Jello in the Steyne race but the step up to 2000m is substantially in Admiral's Jello's favour.

Mr McBat goes to 2000m for the first time and looks under the odds.

Number

Horse

Ladbrokes

Sportsbet

Greg's Assessed Odds

2

Admiral Jello

$2.50

$2.40

$2.20

3

Gold Ambition

$5.00

$5.00

$9.00

9

Sofin

$7.50

$7.00

$6.50

1

Mr McBat

$9

$9.00

$14.00

6

Olympic Academy

$10

$9.50

$6.50

Market Percentage

95.74

The Strategy

The race sets up perfectly for Admiral Jello and at $2.50 is at backable odds for mine and is the only win bet in the race but playing the quinellas adding the stablemate Olympic Academy and Sofin for some additional value.

Advertisment
More Reading...
Yulong Win G1 Met Mile at Saratoga
Yulong have made high profile bloodstock investments all over the world and while they have a US trained miler headed to Royal Ascot in Carl Spackler (IRE), they have another currently racing in North America and Raging Torrent carried their colours to victory at a rain soaked Saratoga to win the Group I Metropolitan Mile (1m).
Spritely 7YO Wins G3 Hyperion - 'Loved Again' Does the Trick!
Group One winner Western Empire (Iffraaj) is back in the winner's circle after a frustrating start to this campaign and is now a $3million earner!
Inglis Easter Segenhoe Stakes Double
Outstanding mare Joliestar (Zoustar) secured a third career G1 win with a staggering come-from-behind victory in today’s Kingsford Smith Cup at Eagle Farm.
Kicked out of Australia - Jan Brueghel Wins G1 Coronation
The horse kicked out of Australia last spring as not having suitable scans to race in the Melbourne Cup, Jan Brueghel showed just what we missed out on seeing when taking out the Group I Betfred Coronation Cup (1m4f) at Epsom overnight.
Sires With Winners - Sunday June 8
Here is the full list of 70 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Successive Stakes Wins For Flying Artie’s In Flight
With all her wins being on soft and heavy rated tracks, trainer Joe Pride has chased the rain of late with 4yo Flyng Artie mare In Flight winning the Listed BRC Bright Shadow Stakes last time out at Doomben, before scoring a late dive victory at Randwick on Saturday in the Listed ATC Bob Charley AO Stakes (1100m).
Levendi Thriving at Magnum Park in Tasmania
Magnum Park is proud to announce that their well credentialled young stallion Levendi will stand at the Old Beach property this spring.
Cosmic Fire a New SW for Cosmic Force
Sunshine Coast trainer Billy Healey was thrilled to have a stakes-winner on a big carnival day at Eagle Farm with his talented Cosmic Force three year-old gelding Cosmic Fire soaring to new heights when taking out the $200,000 Listed BRC Queensland Day Stakes (1200m).
North Pacific 2YO Ready to Win
Byerley Park trainer Steven Cole will head to Ellerslie with a quartet of runners on Saturday, and he is particularly upbeat about the chances of Pacific Breeze in the Network Visuals 1200.
€1.85million Sale-Topping Frankel Filly Wins Epsom Oaks for Coolmore
The Group I Epsom Oaks (1m4f) had a raging hot favourite in undefeated Godolphin entry Desert Flower, but she came up short in her first try at the classic trip going down to finish third behind the Aidan O’Brien trained duo Minnie Hauk (Frankel and Whirl (Wootton Bassett).