Probabeel New Favourite for Karaka Million

Media Release - Sunday January 13

The intrigue around the upcoming Karaka Million 2YO (1200m) took another twist at Ellerslie on Sunday where exciting filly Probabeel laid claim to the favourite's tag for the rich two-year-old dash on January 26.

Probabeel - Trish DunnellThe Brendan and Jo Lindsay-owned Savabeel youngster launched a devastating late sprint to take out the NZB Insurance Pearl Series sponsored 1200m contest, in the process downing stablemate Yourdeel, also a Karaka Million candidate.

Trained by Jamie Richards from his Matamata base, Probabeel had been impressive when winning at Ellerslie at just her second race-day start last month. Sent out the warm favourite for Sunday's contest off the back of that run, Probabeel looked to be in a little trouble approaching the home turn when still a fair way off the pacemakers in the eight-horse field.

Bosson took the filly to the outside to make her challenge, where she joined in over the last 100m to storm to victory by a head from Yourdeel with Hasstobegood a neck further back in third.

Bosson was impressed by the performance of Probabeel although it has left him with a dilemma on which horse he will ride in the Karaka Million, as he is also the regular pilot of Aotea Lad who tops the order of entry for the event.

"We got a bit off them and it took a bit to wind up but that last 100m was awesome," he said after the race.

"I wasn't too worried as I managed to get out into the three-wide train just before the turn.

"She just took a little while to wind up so maybe a set of blinkers might be going on for the Karaka Million.

"There are some lovely horses I get to have the choice of (for the Karaka Million) so it's exciting times.

Advertisement

"I think this one is right up there as she has done nothing wrong so far."

Owner Brendan Lindsay admitted he was left a little dumbfounded by the win after believing his filly had too much to do in the concluding stages of the race.

"I thought she had no show as she looked like she might run third at best with 50m to go," he said.

"Opie sort of waited until his moment, which he had to, but I will have to watch it again as you know what it's like when you get excited."

The Lindsays could have two runners in the Karaka Million with Louis Luck, (read about him here) who was successful on debut at Trentham on Saturday, also likely to make the final field for trainer Jamie Richards.

Richards has six two-year-olds qualified for the Karaka Million, a race he has taken out for the past two years with Melody Belle and Avantage respectively, when training in partnership with Stephen Autridge.

Bookmakers reacted swiftly to the result as they installed Probabeel as the $2.60 favourite for the Karaka Million on their Fixed Odds book, ahead of the unbeaten Whiskey Neat ($3.60), Aotea Lad ($6.50) and Yourdeel ($6.50). – NZ Racing Desk

Advertisment
More Reading...
Probabeel Shows her Class
Superstar three-year-old Probabeel proved a class above her age-group rivals when she made a winning start to her summer campaign over 1400m at Awapuni on Saturday.
Savabeel Colt Secures Karaka Million Start
Te Akau Racing’s quest to win the Karaka Million 2YO (1200m) for the fourth year in succession was bolstered considerably when Cool Aza Beel ensured his place in the field with a dominant victory at Tauranga on Friday.
Yes Yes Yes It’s Been a Big Week for Kate Nivison!
This time last week passionate owner breeder Kate Nivison was basking in the success of having bred and sold a $1.7million Extreme Choice colt at Inglis Easter and today she was enjoying a different sort of success as a winning owner at Kembla.
El Vencedor Primed for Hong Kong
It is full steam ahead for the connections of El Vencedor, as the star galloper jets off to Hong Kong on Thursday in preparation for the Gr.1 FWD QEII Cup (2000m) at Sha Tin on April 27.
One to Watch – Kembla
The juvenile maiden at Kembla on Tuesday was an intriguing affair featuring a number of well-bred and very expensive colts on debut, but the winner was a stylish first starter filly by Capitalist that broke 56 seconds for her debut win.
Who Do You Pick? Star Mares of Tomorrow
In chatting with our guest Jim Clarke this week on our Tara Talks Racing podcast we discussed a topic that will no doubt spark plenty of interest from our audience, if you could have one three year-old filly to take forward and race next season at four, who would it be?
Arrowfield Announce 2025 Fees
In the wake of his third Golden Slipper winner and his career-best yearling sale results, multiple Champion Sire Snitzel heads the 2025 Arrowfield stallion roster at an unchanged fee of $247,500, while Castelvecchio has earned a deserved fee increase.
Almanzor Mare Benefits from Maturity
Time was always going to benefit Mehzebeen and the Almanzor mare continues to emphasise that in her five-year-old season.
Kiwi Sprint Star Crocetti Arrives in Perth
Kiwi Group One-winning sprinter Crocetti has landed in Perth ahead of next week’s A$5 million The Quokka (1200m) at Ascot Racecourse.
Sires With Winners - Tuesday April 15
Here is the full list of 27 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.