Top bets from Paul Joice for Saturday August 5

Paul Joice - Saturday August 5

I'm casting the net across the Randwick meeting and have caught five horses ranging from odds of $3.50 out to as high as $51.

Advertisement
Got lengths on them. Invincible Gem is my tip to cause a Missile Stakes upset. Photo: Steve Hart

BRAVE SONG (Randwick Race 1 No 2)
Beaten by the smart Calculated when an eye-catching runner-up on debut then came out and thumped rivals at Canterbury in a field with some genuine depth. We are getting some value with hot-pot Addictive Nature engaged. Although he looks a good one, so does Brave Song, and I'm convinced Brave Song is coming through the stronger formlines. A worthy gamble.
BET: WIN
ODDS $3.50 @ Bet365

IMPERATOR AUGUSTUS (Randwick Race 3 No 8)
John Thompson's five-year-old has tackled the 1400m here on four occasions and managed two wins, a second and a close-up fourth behind Pelethronius. A natural leader, gate one will make it easy for Josh Parr, he should lob right on the bunny and doesn't appear set to cop too much pressure. But the real kicker is that Randwick is always soft, and Imperator Augustus is a soft track specialist. All three career wins have come on soft or heavy going whereas on good ground he has only been placed once from five starts. Right track, trip and class.
BET: WIN
ODDS $4.60 @ CrownBet & Luxbet

GITAN (Randwick Race 4 No 4)
Frenchman Jean Dubois has been plying his trade mostly on the provincial circuit and with a strike-rate of almost 20 percent is a trainer worth following. He tested Gitan in midweek city grade last start and the four-year-old boxed on gamely when third behind Awoke and The Pharoah. Those two have since finished runner-up in stronger Saturday affairs whereas Gitan was given a trial at Warwick Farm and went terrific. On pace runner so makes his own luck and drops back from a city Benchmark 67 into a Highway Class 3. Great chance.
BET: WIN
ODDS $7 @ Sportsbet ($8 PricePump)

HOLLYWOOD BOUND (Randwick Race 6 No 9)
This is a speculator. Chris Waller's eight-year-old has two duck eggs next to his name after returning from an injury enforced lay-off but both runs were much better than they read on paper. Copped a mid-race check first-up then balked several times in the straight last time. The two races were run on good tracks which isn't his go – he loves it soft. Gate one is a plus as he should land in a trailing position and his trials leading into this campaign were surprisingly sharp. This could be one that has slipped under the radar. Worth something each-way.
BET: EACH-WAY
ODDS $51 @ Bet365

INVINCIBLE GEM (Randwick Race 7 No 8)
I'm convinced this is a serious racehorse and am willing to gamble on her first-up whilst getting the juicy odds. First-up stats encouraging (2:1-1-0) but in much easier assignments. Rocketed through the grades last campaign, culminating in a courageous second in the Group I Randwick Guineas. Two trials for this – latest was superb. Genuine pace/pressure up front should allow Corey Brown to find a trailing position and whilst stablemate Le Romain has the form on the board, he is also well found in betting. With an $11 PowerPlay on offer, I will take a shot on the lesser regarded stablemate to cause an upset.
BET: WIN
ODDS $9.50 @ ($11 PowerPlay)

Advertisment
More Reading...
Back to Back G1 Wins for Almanzor Sprinter First Five
Te Rapa trainer David Greene is riding the crest of a wave after he doubled his Group One tally when First Five took out the BCD Group Sprint (1400m) at his home track on Saturday.
Sires With Winners - Saturday February 7
Here is the full list of 95 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Breeding to Win - 2026 Inglis Millennium
The $2million Inglis Millennium (1100m) at Randwick this Saturday is for 2YO's that have come via the Inglis Sales and naturally the big stables have deployed some of their best juvenile firepower in pursuit of this big pot of cash.
Almanzor Sprinter on Track for More Riches
Local trainer David Greene can’t wait to head to Te Rapa on Saturday where he will be chasing $1.125 million in prizemoney with a trio of runners.
Pedigree Watch – 2YO Up and Comer Stars
There were four stakes races run for juveniles on Saturday as we move towards the G1 Golden Slipper and Blue Diamond Stakes and all of them were won by first time stakes-winners so let’s take a look at the pedigrees.
People at Classic - Feeling The Vibe
Given the numbers of people and the numbers of inspections it’s fair to say there’s a very good vibe about the Inglis Classic Yearling Sale and Maree McEwan was out and about talking to more of the players on Friday.
Brilliant Return for Capitalist Filly Alpha Sofie
A decision to transfer talented Capitalist  filly Alpha Sofie from the Queensland stable of Jason Edwards to Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman in Victoria last year is proving a good one with the filly staking a serious claim for the big autumn sprints at Caulfield on Saturday.
Observer Continues His Winning Ways – G1 Australian Guineas Next
Ending his 3yo spring campaign with success in the G1 VRC Derby (2500m) off the back of his G2 MVRC Vase (2040m) win, Ciaron Maher’s Ghaiyyath colt Observer resumed with another impressive performance, taking out the G2 Autumn Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield.
Ocean Park Filly Wins G2 Fillies Classic for Yulong
Progressive filly Ohope Wins completed the perfect dress rehearsal for the Gr.1 Al Basti Equiworld Dubai New Zealand Oaks (2400m) in a fortnight when she stormed home out wide from last on the corner to take out the Gr.2 David & Karyn Ellis Fillies Classic (2100m) at Te Rapa.
Return To Form For Tom Kitten – Takes Out Kevin Heffernan Stakes
Having not won since defeating Mr Brightside in the G1 All-Star Mile in March last year, a drop in class has seen a return to form for Harry Angel (IRE) gelding Tom Kitten, winning the G3 Kevin Heffernan Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield for Anthony and Sam Freedman.