Golden Rose – Let’s Look in the Crystal Ball

Tara Madgwick - Thursday July 29

The end of the racing season has many of us looking forward to the next and the first big test for the three year-olds comes in the Group I ATC Golden Rose (1400m) on September 25 and with 200 plus nominations there are plenty of dreams alive, but in reality very few winning hopes.

Since the Golden Rose was first upgraded to Group I status in 2009 a filly has never won the race and the trend is unlikely to change this year given the utter domination of the colts in every single Group I juvenile race this season.

The 12 winners of the race from 2009 onwards were all stakes-winners at two, with the only exceptions being Denman and Manawanui, who were both very promising multiple metro winners.

In searching for the winner of this year’s race, what all this means is we can rule out all fillies and all colts and geldings that are not already metro winners at worst.

So what does that leave?

The Newgate young gun sires all have winning hopes.

Captivant will fly the flag for Capitalist - image Steve Hart.

Capitalist has his best chance with Captivant, who was spelled after winning the Group I ATC Champagne Stakes, while his barn mate Extreme Choice has both of his big guns in Golden Slipper winner Stay Inside and Group II BRC Sires Produce Stakes winner Tiger of Malay entered.

Not to be outdone, Flying Artie has his Blue Diamond winner Artorius in contention.

O'President looms as a contender - image Steve Hart.

Champion sire Fastnet Rock has quality colts  O’President and Hilal as his top chances.

Frankel gelding Converge won the Group I BRC JJ Atkins and if he comes into the Golden Rose fresh would be hard to beat.

Godolphin have a great record in the race having won it with Denman, Epaulette, Exosphere, Astern and Bivouac.

Anamoe will lead the charge for Godolphin - image Steve Hart.

Their primary chances this year would appear to be Anamoe (Street Boss (USA),  Ingratiating (Frosted (USA), Paulele (Dawn Approach (IRE),

Group II ATC Silver Slipper winner Home Affairs would be the obvious front runner for I Am Invincible.

Maurice (Jpn) has a couple of contenders in Mazu and Silent Impact that have both shown the right sort of form and potential to be considered.

Saif could be a game changer for Pride of Dubai - image Steve Hart.

Pride of Dubai has a live chance in very promising colt Saif, who thumped Converge when winning the Group III ATC Schweppervescence Stakes, while his barn mate Vancouver might have a prospect in Cape Breton.

Sebring has 10 entries and the best would be Three Kings, a Listed stakes-winner at Flemington over 1400m.

Shalaa (IRE) has his Magic Millions 2YO Classic winner Shaquero in the hunt.

Remarque might be ready to deliver on potential this spring - image Steve Hart.

Snitzel has a whopping 25 entries and the best are Kiwi trained Group I winner Sword of State, stakes-winner Royalzel and Estijaab’s little brother Remarque.

Spirit of Boom has a hope with Prince of Boom, who has the right trainer to surprise in Rob Heathcote.

Finance Tycoon may have a lot more to offer - image Grant Courtney.

Written Tycoon has 10 entries, but can hang his hat on quality colt Finance Tycoon, who has had a stable change and will run this season for Danny O’Brien.

Zoustar won the Golden Rose in 2013 and had a Sydney debut winner this week in Starman that will need to go ahead in leaps and bounds to figure, but there was a bit to like about him!

Click here to see the 2021 Golden Rose entries.

 

Advertisment
More Reading...
Transatlantic Takes $1million Five Diamonds Prelude
Transatlantic’s lucrative spring carnival continued at Randwick with an arrogant victory in the $1m Five Diamonds Prelude.
Sires With Winners - Sunday October 26
Here is the full list of 74 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
One to Watch – Sha Tin – You Don’t See That Every Day!
The Mark Newnham stable has been on fire in Hong Kong since the start of the new season and the former Sydney trainer produced a super promising winner at Sha Tin on Sunday by Capitalist that did everything wrong and miraculously still won the race!
Sires With Winners - Friday October 24
Here is the full list of 60 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
First Winner for King of Comedy
Novara Park Stud stallion King Of Comedy (IRE) is on the board as a sire, with his son Sir Ruby becoming his first winner when victorious over 1300m at Selangor Turf Club in Malaysia on Sunday.
Rewarding Weekend for Waikato Stud
A double strike at stakes level, a filly with a black-type future and a welcome family success handed Waikato Stud another rewarding weekend.
From FNQ To Sha Tin - Aussie Bred Sprinter Wins G2 Premier Bowl
Some horses arrive in Hong Kong with a very different back story - Fresh from winning the $20million The Everest with Ka Ying Rising, David Hayes was back in the winner’s list at Sha Tin on Sunday when Tomodachi Kokoroe won the Group II Premier Bowl (1200m).
Melbourne Cup Dream Alive for Kiwi Stayers
Gr.1 Melbourne Cup (3200m) dreams are still alive for connections of Kiwi stayers Mark Twain and Trav.
Sires With Winners - Saturday October 25
Here is the full list of 136 stallions which had winners throughout Australasia today with winners and result details.
Early Return Home for Cogburn
Group I winning Not This Time son Cogburn (USA) will return to WinStar Farm in Kentucky earlier than planned after disappointing fertility results during his first Australian covering season at Widden Stud.