James Cummings has made a solid start as the head trainer of the Godolphin operation but from a betting perspective, punters should tread warily.
Looking at the Racenet Trainers Statistic for his last 50 runners available here, Cummings has trained nine winners from his last 50 starters at a healthy 18 percent winning strike rate but punters need to be aware that we are consistently asked to take under the odds for this stable.
Investing on each of the Cummings runners in the last 50 runners cycle would have seen a loss on turnover of 44.5 percent.
39 of the runners started at $6 or less for eight winners, that's an improvement in winning strike rate at 20 percent strike rate but the loss on turnover gets worse at 48.07 percent.
The market place tends to over-estimate the chances of runners in the Godolphin blue and that looks the case with Demerara who resumes in the Weathertex Benchmark 65 Handicap (1000M).
Demerara hasn't been seen since November 2016 when the daughter of Commands won her maiden at Kembla on debut.
Demerara had two trials back in February 2017 and was spelled and returns to racing after two promising trials this time in.
No doubt Demerara is a filly of promise but $2.20 seems short odds to find out if she can make a successful return to racing.
Sir Magic from the Angela Davies stable is chasing a hat trick of wins after victories at Gosford and Beaumont and with the stable boasting a winning strike rate in excess of 32 per cent for the last year, Sir Magic appeals as substantially better value at $6.50 in early betting than the $2.20 being offered for the favourite.
